Brit Predictor

Lincoln vs Birmingham prediction

England Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeLincoln 1–3 BirminghamResult 2

Who wins?

LincolnDrawBirmingham
Model 2 ✓
29%28%44%
Market 2 ✓
28%27%45%

Brit Predictor's model rates Birmingham to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Lincoln 29% at home, a draw 28% and Birmingham 44%, so its call is 2: Birmingham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 28% / 27% / 45%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Lincoln and 1.4 for Birmingham; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Lincoln, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.1 – 1.4
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score50%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Lincoln

Attack 20th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.

WDLLL
  • W 4-1 v Burnley 2026-10-24
  • D 2-2 at Millwall 2026-10-17
  • L 0-6 v West Ham 2026-10-14
  • L 0-3 at Sheffield United 2026-10-10
  • L 1-2 v Swansea 2026-09-19

Birmingham

Attack 10th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.

LWWWD
  • L 0-1 at Cardiff 2026-10-24
  • W 3-0 v QPR 2026-10-17
  • W 4-0 v Preston 2026-10-13
  • W 1-0 at West Brom 2026-10-10
  • D 2-2 v Middlesbrough 2026-09-19

From 1249 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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