Brit Predictor

Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction

England Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeMiddlesbrough 3–0 CharltonResult 1

Who wins?

MiddlesbroughDrawCharlton
Model 1 ✓
63%23%14%
Market 1 ✓
78%14%

Brit Predictor's model rates Middlesbrough to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Middlesbrough 63% at home, a draw 23% and Charlton 14%, so its call is 1: Middlesbrough to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 78% / 14% / 8%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.9 for Middlesbrough and 0.8 for Charlton; the single most likely score is 1-0.

Expected goals1.9 – 0.8
Most likely score1-0
Over 2.5 goals49%
Both teams score45%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Middlesbrough

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.

WDWWD
  • W 5-1 at Bolton 2026-10-23
  • D 2-2 v Cardiff 2026-10-17
  • W 3-2 at Stoke 2026-10-13
  • W 1-0 v Wolves 2026-10-10
  • D 2-2 at Birmingham 2026-09-19

Charlton

Attack 24th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.

LLDDL
  • L 1-3 v Norwich 2026-10-24
  • L 0-2 at Watford 2026-10-17
  • D 2-2 at Burnley 2026-10-13
  • D 1-1 v Bristol City 2026-10-10
  • L 1-3 at Cardiff 2026-09-19

From 1249 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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