Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction
England Championship · Saturday 31 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burnley to win as the most likely result (56%). It gives Burnley 56% at home, a draw 24% and Portsmouth 19%, so its call is 1: Burnley to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 27% / 28%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Burnley and 0.9 for Portsmouth; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Burnley, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Burnley
Attack 6th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Lincoln 2026-10-24
- L 1-2 v Wolves 2026-10-16
- D 2-2 v Charlton 2026-10-13
- W 4-0 at Watford 2026-10-10
- D 1-1 v Derby 2026-09-19
Portsmouth
Attack 17th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Millwall 2026-10-24
- D 1-1 at Wolves 2026-10-20
- W 1-0 at Norwich 2026-10-17
- W 3-2 v Sheffield United 2026-10-14
- L 0-1 at Southampton 2026-10-11
From 1249 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 31 Oct
- Lincoln vs Birmingham · FT 1–3
- Norwich vs Watford · FT 3–2
- Stoke vs Preston · FT 2–0
- Bolton vs Bristol City · FT 2–3
- Middlesbrough vs Charlton · FT 3–0
- Millwall vs Derby · FT 4–1
- Southampton vs QPR · FT 4–1
- Swansea vs Blackburn · FT 4–0
- West Ham vs West Brom · FT 1–3
- Wolves vs Cardiff · FT 3–0