Brit Predictor

York vs Port Vale prediction

England League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeYork 2–0 Port ValeResult 1

Who wins?

YorkDrawPort Vale
Model 1 ✓
46%27%27%
Market 1 ✓
48%26%25%

Brit Predictor's model rates York to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives York 46% at home, a draw 27% and Port Vale 27%, so its call is 1: York to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 26% / 25%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for York and 1.0 for Port Vale; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on York, Port Vale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals46%
Both teams score50%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

York

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.

DDDWL
  • D 1-1 v Accrington 2026-10-20
  • D 1-1 at Newport County 2026-10-17
  • D 1-1 v Northampton 2026-10-10
  • W 3-0 v Gillingham 2026-09-26
  • L 0-2 at Chesterfield 2026-09-19

Port Vale

Attack 16th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

DWWLW
  • D 1-1 at Gillingham 2026-10-20
  • W 1-0 v Chesterfield 2026-10-17
  • W 1-0 v Grimsby 2026-10-10
  • L 0-2 at Walsall 2026-09-19
  • W 1-0 v Exeter 2026-09-12

From 1242 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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