Cheltenham vs Newport County prediction
England League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Cheltenham to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Cheltenham 49% at home, a draw 23% and Newport County 28%, so its call is 1: Cheltenham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 37% / 27% / 36%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Cheltenham and 1.3 for Newport County; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Cheltenham
Attack 8th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- W 4-2 v Fleetwood Town 2026-10-20
- L 1-4 at Oldham 2026-10-17
- L 0-2 v Salford 2026-10-10
- L 0-2 at Accrington 2026-10-03
- W 2-1 v Chesterfield 2026-09-26
Newport County
Attack 19th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Rotherham 2026-10-20
- D 1-1 v York 2026-10-17
- W 1-0 v Colchester 2026-10-10
- D 0-0 at Gillingham 2026-10-03
- W 2-1 v Grimsby 2026-09-26
From 1242 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 24 Oct
- Northampton vs Colchester · FT 2–0
- Bristol Rvs vs Swindon · FT 0–0
- York vs Port Vale · FT 2–0
- Barnet vs Oldham · FT 1–1
- Chesterfield vs Crewe · FT 5–1
- Crawley Town vs Tranmere · FT 1–1
- Exeter vs Fleetwood Town · FT 2–1
- Gillingham vs Grimsby · FT 1–4
- Rochdale vs Accrington · FT 0–5
- Rotherham vs Shrewsbury · FT 3–3