Rochdale vs Accrington prediction
England League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Rochdale to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Rochdale 42% at home, a draw 27% and Accrington 32%, so its call is 1: Rochdale to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 27% / 41%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Rochdale and 1.2 for Accrington; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Rochdale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Rochdale
Attack 12th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 v Grimsby 2026-10-20
- L 2-3 at Crewe 2026-10-17
- D 1-1 at Tranmere 2026-10-10
- W 1-0 v Swindon 2026-10-03
- W 2-1 at Fleetwood Town 2026-09-26
Accrington
Attack 17th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at York 2026-10-20
- W 3-1 v Gillingham 2026-10-17
- D 0-0 at Oldham 2026-10-10
- W 2-0 v Cheltenham 2026-10-03
- D 1-1 at Swindon 2026-09-26
From 1242 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 24 Oct
- Northampton vs Colchester · FT 2–0
- Cheltenham vs Newport County · FT 1–0
- Bristol Rvs vs Swindon · FT 0–0
- York vs Port Vale · FT 2–0
- Barnet vs Oldham · FT 1–1
- Chesterfield vs Crewe · FT 5–1
- Crawley Town vs Tranmere · FT 1–1
- Exeter vs Fleetwood Town · FT 2–1
- Gillingham vs Grimsby · FT 1–4
- Rotherham vs Shrewsbury · FT 3–3