Northampton vs Colchester prediction
England League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called X2 ✗ (draw or away win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (42%). It gives Northampton 23% at home, a draw 42% and Colchester 35%, so its call is X2: Colchester to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 47% / 29% / 25%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.5 for Northampton and 0.7 for Colchester; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Northampton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Northampton
Attack 24th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Tranmere 2026-10-20
- W 2-0 at Grimsby 2026-10-17
- D 1-1 at York 2026-10-10
- L 0-1 v Rotherham 2026-09-19
- L 0-2 at Shrewsbury 2026-09-12
Colchester
Attack 14th of 24, defence 4th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Chesterfield 2026-10-20
- D 0-0 v Exeter 2026-10-17
- L 0-1 at Newport County 2026-10-10
- D 2-2 at Shrewsbury 2026-09-26
- D 1-1 v Cheltenham 2026-09-19
From 1242 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 24 Oct
- Cheltenham vs Newport County · FT 1–0
- Bristol Rvs vs Swindon · FT 0–0
- York vs Port Vale · FT 2–0
- Barnet vs Oldham · FT 1–1
- Chesterfield vs Crewe · FT 5–1
- Crawley Town vs Tranmere · FT 1–1
- Exeter vs Fleetwood Town · FT 2–1
- Gillingham vs Grimsby · FT 1–4
- Rochdale vs Accrington · FT 0–5
- Rotherham vs Shrewsbury · FT 3–3