Brit Predictor

Exeter vs Fleetwood Town prediction

England League Two · Saturday 24 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeExeter 2–1 Fleetwood TownResult 1

Who wins?

ExeterDrawFleetwood Town
Model 1X ✓
38%44%19%
Market 12 ✓
39%28%33%

Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (44%). It gives Exeter 38% at home, a draw 44% and Fleetwood Town 19%, so its call is 1X: Exeter to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 28% / 33%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 0.7 for Exeter and 0.4 for Fleetwood Town; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Exeter, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals0.7 – 0.4
Most likely score0-0
Over 2.5 goals10%
Both teams score17%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Exeter

Attack 23rd of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.

WDWWL
  • W 2-0 v Crewe 2026-10-20
  • D 0-0 at Colchester 2026-10-17
  • W 1-0 at Shrewsbury 2026-10-10
  • W 1-0 v Rotherham 2026-10-03
  • L 0-1 at Bristol Rvs 2026-09-26

Fleetwood Town

Attack 13th of 24, defence 11th of 24 in the league.

LWDLL
  • L 2-4 at Cheltenham 2026-10-20
  • W 2-0 v Rotherham 2026-10-17
  • D 1-1 v Walsall 2026-10-10
  • L 0-1 at Salford 2026-10-03
  • L 1-2 v Rochdale 2026-09-26

From 1242 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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