Swansea vs West Ham prediction
England Championship · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates West Ham to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Swansea 21% at home, a draw 20% and West Ham 58%, so its call is 2: West Ham to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 28% / 25% / 47%, a call of 2 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Swansea and 2.3 for West Ham; the single most likely score is 1-2. Careful: there is little recent data on West Ham, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Swansea
Attack 13th of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Millwall 2026-10-13
- W 2-1 v Norwich 2026-10-10
- W 2-1 at Lincoln 2026-09-19
- W 3-1 v Burnley 2026-09-12
- L 1-3 at Southampton 2026-09-08
West Ham
Attack 1st of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.
- W 6-0 at Lincoln 2026-10-14
- D 1-1 v QPR 2026-10-09
- D 2-2 at Millwall 2026-09-19
- W 6-0 v Wrexham 2026-09-11
- W 3-2 at Bolton 2026-09-08
From 1224 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 17 Oct
- Middlesbrough vs Cardiff · FT 2–2
- Millwall vs Lincoln · FT 2–2
- Watford vs Charlton · FT 2–0
- Wrexham vs Preston · FT 4–1
- Southampton vs Bolton · FT 0–0
- West Brom vs Blackburn · FT 3–2
- Derby vs Stoke · FT 0–1
- Bristol City vs Sheffield United · FT 0–1
- Birmingham vs QPR · FT 3–0
- Norwich vs Portsmouth · FT 0–1