Middlesbrough vs Cardiff prediction
England Championship · Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Middlesbrough to win as the most likely result (63%). It gives Middlesbrough 63% at home, a draw 20% and Cardiff 16%, so its call is 1: Middlesbrough to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 66% / 18% / 16%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.2 for Middlesbrough and 1.0 for Cardiff; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Cardiff, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Middlesbrough
Attack 4th of 24, defence 6th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-2 at Stoke 2026-10-13
- W 1-0 v Wolves 2026-10-10
- D 2-2 at Birmingham 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 v Millwall 2026-09-15
- W 4-3 v Norwich 2026-09-12
Cardiff
Attack 14th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- W 5-1 v Watford 2026-10-13
- L 1-2 at Blackburn 2026-10-10
- W 3-1 v Charlton 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Bolton 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Stoke 2026-09-08
From 1224 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 17 Oct
- Millwall vs Lincoln · FT 2–2
- Watford vs Charlton · FT 2–0
- Wrexham vs Preston · FT 4–1
- Swansea vs West Ham · FT 0–1
- Southampton vs Bolton · FT 0–0
- West Brom vs Blackburn · FT 3–2
- Derby vs Stoke · FT 0–1
- Bristol City vs Sheffield United · FT 0–1
- Birmingham vs QPR · FT 3–0
- Norwich vs Portsmouth · FT 0–1