Millwall vs Lincoln prediction
England Championship · Saturday 17 October 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Millwall to win as the most likely result (65%). It gives Millwall 65% at home, a draw 24% and Lincoln 11%, so its call is 1: Millwall to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 25% / 19%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for Millwall and 0.5 for Lincoln; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Lincoln, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Millwall
Attack 11th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Swansea 2026-10-13
- W 1-0 at Preston 2026-10-10
- D 2-2 v West Ham 2026-09-19
- D 2-2 at Middlesbrough 2026-09-15
- L 1-3 at Blackburn 2026-09-12
Lincoln
Attack 24th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- L 0-6 v West Ham 2026-10-14
- L 0-3 at Sheffield United 2026-10-10
- L 1-2 v Swansea 2026-09-19
- W 1-0 at Bristol City 2026-09-15
- W 1-0 at Preston 2026-09-12
From 1224 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 17 Oct
- Middlesbrough vs Cardiff · FT 2–2
- Watford vs Charlton · FT 2–0
- Wrexham vs Preston · FT 4–1
- Swansea vs West Ham · FT 0–1
- Southampton vs Bolton · FT 0–0
- West Brom vs Blackburn · FT 3–2
- Derby vs Stoke · FT 0–1
- Bristol City vs Sheffield United · FT 0–1
- Birmingham vs QPR · FT 3–0
- Norwich vs Portsmouth · FT 0–1