Southampton vs Bolton prediction
England Championship · Saturday 17 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Southampton to win as the most likely result (68%). It gives Southampton 68% at home, a draw 18% and Bolton 15%, so its call is 1: Southampton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 68% / 18% / 13%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.6 for Southampton and 1.2 for Bolton; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Bolton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Southampton
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 at Norwich 2026-10-14
- W 1-0 v Portsmouth 2026-10-11
- L 1-2 at Wrexham 2026-09-19
- W 4-1 v Bristol City 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Swansea 2026-09-08
Bolton
Attack 7th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 at Wolves 2026-10-13
- L 1-2 v Stoke 2026-10-10
- W 4-3 at Norwich 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Cardiff 2026-09-12
- L 2-3 v West Ham 2026-09-08
From 1224 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 17 Oct
- Middlesbrough vs Cardiff · FT 2–2
- Millwall vs Lincoln · FT 2–2
- Watford vs Charlton · FT 2–0
- Wrexham vs Preston · FT 4–1
- Swansea vs West Ham · FT 0–1
- West Brom vs Blackburn · FT 3–2
- Derby vs Stoke · FT 0–1
- Bristol City vs Sheffield United · FT 0–1
- Birmingham vs QPR · FT 3–0
- Norwich vs Portsmouth · FT 0–1