York vs Northampton prediction
England League Two · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates York to win as the most likely result (72%). It gives York 72% at home, a draw 21% and Northampton 7%, so its call is 1: York to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 60% / 23% / 17%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.7 for York and 0.3 for Northampton; the single most likely score is 1-0. Careful: there is little recent data on York, Northampton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
York
Attack 1st of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-0 v Gillingham 2026-09-26
- L 0-2 at Chesterfield 2026-09-19
- W 4-0 v Swindon 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Crewe 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Cheltenham 2026-09-01
Northampton
Attack 24th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 v Rotherham 2026-09-19
- L 0-2 at Shrewsbury 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Newport County 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Crawley Town 2026-09-01
- D 1-1 at Gillingham 2026-08-29
From 1206 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 10 Oct
- Oldham vs Accrington · FT 0–0
- Swindon vs Crewe · FT 0–1
- Port Vale vs Grimsby · FT 1–0
- Tranmere vs Rochdale · FT 1–1
- Shrewsbury vs Exeter · FT 0–1
- Rotherham vs Gillingham · FT 1–4
- Fleetwood Town vs Walsall · FT 1–1
- Crawley Town vs Chesterfield · FT 2–2
- Cheltenham vs Salford · FT 0–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Barnet · FT 1–3
- Newport County vs Colchester · FT 1–0