Brit Predictor

Port Vale vs Grimsby prediction

England League Two · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timePort Vale 1–0 GrimsbyResult 1

Who wins?

Port ValeDrawGrimsby
Model 12 ✓
37%28%35%
Market 12 ✓
33%28%38%

Brit Predictor's model rates Port Vale to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Port Vale 37% at home, a draw 28% and Grimsby 35%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 33% / 28% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Port Vale and 1.2 for Grimsby; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Port Vale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals42%
Both teams score48%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Port Vale

Attack 15th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

LWLLD
  • L 0-2 at Walsall 2026-09-19
  • W 1-0 v Exeter 2026-09-12
  • L 0-1 at Salford 2026-09-05
  • L 1-3 at Swindon 2026-09-01
  • D 0-0 v Crewe 2026-08-29

Grimsby

Attack 4th of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.

LLWWD
  • L 1-2 v Shrewsbury 2026-10-03
  • L 1-2 at Newport County 2026-09-26
  • W 2-0 v Crawley Town 2026-09-19
  • W 2-0 v Bristol Rvs 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 at Cheltenham 2026-09-05

From 1206 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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