Brit Predictor

Tranmere vs Rochdale prediction

England League Two · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeTranmere 1–1 RochdaleResult X

Who wins?

TranmereDrawRochdale
Model 12 ✗
39%27%34%
Market 1 ✗
48%27%25%

Brit Predictor's model rates Tranmere to win as the most likely result (39%). It gives Tranmere 39% at home, a draw 27% and Rochdale 34%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 27% / 25%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.3 for Tranmere and 1.2 for Rochdale; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Rochdale, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals45%
Both teams score51%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Tranmere

Attack 16th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.

LDDLW
  • L 2-4 at Chesterfield 2026-10-03
  • D 1-1 v Walsall 2026-09-26
  • D 0-0 at Exeter 2026-09-19
  • L 0-2 at Gillingham 2026-09-12
  • W 2-0 v Oldham 2026-09-05

Rochdale

Attack 20th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.

WWWDL
  • W 1-0 v Swindon 2026-10-03
  • W 2-1 at Fleetwood Town 2026-09-26
  • W 2-0 v Oldham 2026-09-19
  • D 0-0 at Walsall 2026-09-12
  • L 1-4 v Gillingham 2026-09-05

From 1206 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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