Newport County vs Colchester prediction
England League Two · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Colchester to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Newport County 29% at home, a draw 27% and Colchester 44%, so its call is 2: Colchester to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 39% / 27% / 34%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.1 for Newport County and 1.4 for Colchester; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Newport County
Attack 17th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Gillingham 2026-10-03
- W 2-1 v Grimsby 2026-09-26
- D 0-0 at Accrington 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Fleetwood Town 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 at Northampton 2026-09-05
Colchester
Attack 13th of 24, defence 4th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Shrewsbury 2026-09-26
- D 1-1 v Cheltenham 2026-09-19
- D 1-1 v Crewe 2026-09-12
- L 1-3 at Swindon 2026-09-05
- L 0-2 at Bristol Rvs 2026-09-01
From 1206 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 10 Oct
- Oldham vs Accrington · FT 0–0
- Swindon vs Crewe · FT 0–1
- Port Vale vs Grimsby · FT 1–0
- York vs Northampton · FT 1–1
- Tranmere vs Rochdale · FT 1–1
- Shrewsbury vs Exeter · FT 0–1
- Rotherham vs Gillingham · FT 1–4
- Fleetwood Town vs Walsall · FT 1–1
- Crawley Town vs Chesterfield · FT 2–2
- Cheltenham vs Salford · FT 0–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Barnet · FT 1–3