Shrewsbury vs Exeter prediction
England League Two · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called X ✗ (draw): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (46%). It gives Shrewsbury 26% at home, a draw 46% and Exeter 29%, so its call is X: a draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 28% / 27%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.5 for Shrewsbury and 0.5 for Exeter; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Exeter, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Shrewsbury
Attack 21st of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Grimsby 2026-10-03
- D 2-2 v Colchester 2026-09-26
- D 1-1 at Crewe 2026-09-19
- W 2-0 v Northampton 2026-09-12
- L 0-2 at Fleetwood Town 2026-09-05
Exeter
Attack 23rd of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Rotherham 2026-10-03
- L 0-1 at Bristol Rvs 2026-09-26
- D 0-0 v Tranmere 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Port Vale 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v Walsall 2026-09-05
From 1206 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 10 Oct
- Oldham vs Accrington · FT 0–0
- Swindon vs Crewe · FT 0–1
- Port Vale vs Grimsby · FT 1–0
- York vs Northampton · FT 1–1
- Tranmere vs Rochdale · FT 1–1
- Rotherham vs Gillingham · FT 1–4
- Fleetwood Town vs Walsall · FT 1–1
- Crawley Town vs Chesterfield · FT 2–2
- Cheltenham vs Salford · FT 0–2
- Bristol Rvs vs Barnet · FT 1–3
- Newport County vs Colchester · FT 1–0