Brit Predictor

West Brom vs Birmingham prediction

England Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeWest Brom 0–1 BirminghamResult 2

Who wins?

West BromDrawBirmingham
Model 1X ✗
38%31%30%
Market 12 ✓
38%29%34%

Brit Predictor's model rates West Brom to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives West Brom 38% at home, a draw 31% and Birmingham 30%, so its call is 1X: West Brom to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 29% / 34%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.1 for West Brom and 1.0 for Birmingham; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.1 – 1.0
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals36%
Both teams score44%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

West Brom

Attack 18th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

LDWWD
  • L 0-1 at Wolves 2026-09-20
  • D 1-1 v QPR 2026-09-12
  • W 1-0 at Derby 2026-09-09
  • W 1-0 v Watford 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 v Charlton 2026-09-02

Birmingham

Attack 13th of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.

DWLDD
  • D 2-2 v Middlesbrough 2026-09-19
  • W 2-1 at Derby 2026-09-12
  • L 1-2 at Norwich 2026-09-09
  • D 2-2 v Wolves 2026-09-06
  • D 1-1 v Southampton 2026-09-01

From 1200 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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