Blackburn vs Cardiff prediction
England Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Blackburn to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Blackburn 49% at home, a draw 29% and Cardiff 22%, so its call is 1: Blackburn to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 26% / 38%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.4 for Blackburn and 0.9 for Cardiff; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Cardiff, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Blackburn
Attack 22nd of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.
- D 2-2 at Portsmouth 2026-09-19
- W 3-1 v Millwall 2026-09-12
- L 1-2 v Sheffield United 2026-09-08
- L 1-2 at Preston 2026-09-05
- D 0-0 at Lincoln 2026-09-01
Cardiff
Attack 20th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Charlton 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Bolton 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 v Stoke 2026-09-08
- L 0-2 at Portsmouth 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at QPR 2026-09-02
From 1200 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 10 Oct
- Charlton vs Bristol City · FT 1–1
- Swansea vs Norwich · FT 2–1
- West Brom vs Birmingham · FT 0–1
- Bolton vs Stoke · FT 1–2
- Derby vs Wrexham · FT 1–1
- Middlesbrough vs Wolves · FT 1–0
- Preston vs Millwall · FT 0–1
- Sheffield United vs Lincoln · FT 3–0
- Watford vs Burnley · FT 0–4