Watford vs Burnley prediction
England Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burnley to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Watford 24% at home, a draw 30% and Burnley 46%, so its call is 2: Burnley to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 32% / 26% / 41%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 0.9 for Watford and 1.3 for Burnley; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Burnley, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Watford
Attack 21st of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Bristol City 2026-09-18
- L 1-2 v Stoke 2026-09-12
- W 2-1 v Preston 2026-09-08
- L 0-1 at West Brom 2026-09-05
- L 0-2 at Swansea 2026-09-01
Burnley
Attack 7th of 24, defence 2nd of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Derby 2026-09-19
- L 1-3 at Swansea 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Wrexham 2026-09-08
- L 1-2 v Bristol City 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Middlesbrough 2026-09-02
From 1200 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 10 Oct
- Charlton vs Bristol City · FT 1–1
- Swansea vs Norwich · FT 2–1
- West Brom vs Birmingham · FT 0–1
- Blackburn vs Cardiff · FT 2–1
- Bolton vs Stoke · FT 1–2
- Derby vs Wrexham · FT 1–1
- Middlesbrough vs Wolves · FT 1–0
- Preston vs Millwall · FT 0–1
- Sheffield United vs Lincoln · FT 3–0