Derby vs Wrexham prediction
England Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
Full timeDerby 1–1 WrexhamResult X
- Model called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
DerbyDrawWrexham
Model 12 ✗
41%27%32%
Market 12 ✗
34%28%38%
Brit Predictor's model rates Derby to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Derby 41% at home, a draw 27% and Wrexham 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 28% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Derby and 1.3 for Wrexham; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Expected goals1.5 – 1.3
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals53%
Both teams score57%
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Derby
Attack 15th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
DLLLW
- D 1-1 at Burnley 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 v Birmingham 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 v West Brom 2026-09-09
- L 0-3 at West Ham 2026-09-05
- W 2-0 at Portsmouth 2026-09-01
Wrexham
Attack 6th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.
WLDDW
- W 2-1 v Southampton 2026-09-19
- L 0-6 at West Ham 2026-09-11
- D 1-1 v Burnley 2026-09-08
- D 0-0 at Swansea 2026-09-05
- W 3-0 at Millwall 2026-09-02
From 1200 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 10 Oct
- Charlton vs Bristol City · FT 1–1
- Swansea vs Norwich · FT 2–1
- West Brom vs Birmingham · FT 0–1
- Blackburn vs Cardiff · FT 2–1
- Bolton vs Stoke · FT 1–2
- Middlesbrough vs Wolves · FT 1–0
- Preston vs Millwall · FT 0–1
- Sheffield United vs Lincoln · FT 3–0
- Watford vs Burnley · FT 0–4