Bolton vs Stoke prediction
England Championship · Saturday 10 October 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Bolton to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Bolton 41% at home, a draw 26% and Stoke 33%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 28% / 38%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.6 for Bolton and 1.4 for Stoke; the single most likely score is 1-1. Careful: there is little recent data on Bolton, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Bolton
Attack 8th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- W 4-3 at Norwich 2026-09-20
- W 1-0 v Cardiff 2026-09-12
- L 2-3 v West Ham 2026-09-08
- L 0-4 at Millwall 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Sheffield United 2026-09-01
Stoke
Attack 17th of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Sheffield United 2026-09-19
- W 2-1 at Watford 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Cardiff 2026-09-08
- W 4-0 v Charlton 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 v Norwich 2026-09-01
From 1200 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 10 Oct
- Charlton vs Bristol City · FT 1–1
- Swansea vs Norwich · FT 2–1
- West Brom vs Birmingham · FT 0–1
- Blackburn vs Cardiff · FT 2–1
- Derby vs Wrexham · FT 1–1
- Middlesbrough vs Wolves · FT 1–0
- Preston vs Millwall · FT 0–1
- Sheffield United vs Lincoln · FT 3–0
- Watford vs Burnley · FT 0–4