Brit Predictor

York vs Gillingham prediction

England League Two · Saturday 26 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeYork 3–0 GillinghamResult 1

Who wins?

YorkDrawGillingham
Model 1 ✓
64%19%17%
Market 1 ✓
58%22%20%

Brit Predictor's model rates York to win as the most likely result (64%). It gives York 64% at home, a draw 19% and Gillingham 17%, so its call is 1: York to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 22% / 20%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 2.3 for York and 1.1 for Gillingham; the single most likely score is 2-1. Careful: there is little recent data on York, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals2.3 – 1.1
Most likely score2-1
Over 2.5 goals65%
Both teams score60%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

York

Attack 1st of 24, defence 16th of 24 in the league.

LWDLW
  • L 0-2 at Chesterfield 2026-09-19
  • W 4-0 v Swindon 2026-09-12
  • D 1-1 at Crewe 2026-09-05
  • L 2-3 at Cheltenham 2026-09-01
  • W 2-1 v Exeter 2026-08-29

Gillingham

Attack 18th of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.

WWWDD
  • W 3-0 v Bristol Rvs 2026-09-19
  • W 2-0 v Tranmere 2026-09-12
  • W 4-1 at Rochdale 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 at Chesterfield 2026-09-01
  • D 1-1 v Northampton 2026-08-29

From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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