Bristol Rvs vs Exeter prediction
England League Two · Saturday 26 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates a draw as the most likely result (40%). It gives Bristol Rvs 37% at home, a draw 40% and Exeter 23%, so its call is 1X: Bristol Rvs to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 56% / 25% / 19%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 0.7 for Bristol Rvs and 0.5 for Exeter; the single most likely score is 0-0. Careful: there is little recent data on Exeter, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Bristol Rvs
Attack 9th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-3 at Gillingham 2026-09-19
- L 0-2 at Grimsby 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Rotherham 2026-09-05
- W 2-0 v Colchester 2026-09-01
- W 2-0 at Crawley Town 2026-08-29
Exeter
Attack 23rd of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Tranmere 2026-09-19
- L 0-1 at Port Vale 2026-09-12
- D 0-0 v Walsall 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Barnet 2026-09-01
- L 1-2 at York 2026-08-29
From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 26 Sep
- York vs Gillingham · FT 3–0
- Tranmere vs Walsall · FT 1–1
- Swindon vs Accrington · FT 1–1
- Shrewsbury vs Colchester · FT 2–2
- Rotherham vs Crewe · FT 1–1
- Newport County vs Grimsby · FT 2–1
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale · FT 1–2
- Cheltenham vs Chesterfield · FT 2–1
- Oldham vs Salford · FT 1–4