Swindon vs Accrington prediction
England League Two · Saturday 26 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Swindon to win as the most likely result (55%). It gives Swindon 55% at home, a draw 23% and Accrington 22%, so its call is 1: Swindon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 44% / 26% / 30%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.8 for Swindon and 1.1 for Accrington; the single most likely score is 1-1.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.
Strength and form
Swindon
Attack 5th of 24, defence 13th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Salford 2026-09-19
- L 0-4 at York 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Colchester 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 v Port Vale 2026-09-01
- L 0-3 at Oldham 2026-08-29
Accrington
Attack 19th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Newport County 2026-09-19
- L 1-2 at Barnet 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 v Crawley Town 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 v Grimsby 2026-09-01
- L 2-3 at Walsall 2026-08-29
From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 26 Sep
- York vs Gillingham · FT 3–0
- Tranmere vs Walsall · FT 1–1
- Shrewsbury vs Colchester · FT 2–2
- Rotherham vs Crewe · FT 1–1
- Newport County vs Grimsby · FT 2–1
- Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale · FT 1–2
- Cheltenham vs Chesterfield · FT 2–1
- Bristol Rvs vs Exeter · FT 1–0
- Oldham vs Salford · FT 1–4