Brit Predictor

Cheltenham vs Chesterfield prediction

England League Two · Saturday 26 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeCheltenham 2–1 ChesterfieldResult 1

Who wins?

CheltenhamDrawChesterfield
Model 2 ✗
30%24%46%
Market 2 ✗
30%25%45%

Brit Predictor's model rates Chesterfield to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Cheltenham 30% at home, a draw 24% and Chesterfield 46%, so its call is 2: Chesterfield to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 25% / 45%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.3 for Cheltenham and 1.7 for Chesterfield; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.7
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals59%
Both teams score61%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Cheltenham

Attack 7th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

DWDWD
  • D 1-1 at Colchester 2026-09-19
  • W 3-1 at Crawley Town 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 v Grimsby 2026-09-05
  • W 3-2 v York 2026-09-01
  • D 2-2 at Barnet 2026-08-29

Chesterfield

Attack 4th of 24, defence 8th of 24 in the league.

WWDDL
  • W 2-0 v York 2026-09-19
  • W 2-1 at Oldham 2026-09-12
  • D 3-3 v Barnet 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 v Gillingham 2026-09-01
  • L 1-2 at Rotherham 2026-08-29

From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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