Brit Predictor

Newport County vs Grimsby prediction

England League Two · Saturday 26 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeNewport County 2–1 GrimsbyResult 1

Who wins?

Newport CountyDrawGrimsby
Model 2 ✗
24%23%52%
Market 2 ✗
24%26%50%

Brit Predictor's model rates Grimsby to win as the most likely result (52%). It gives Newport County 24% at home, a draw 23% and Grimsby 52%, so its call is 2: Grimsby to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 24% / 26% / 50%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.1 for Newport County and 1.8 for Grimsby; the single most likely score is 1-1.

Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Most likely score1-1
Over 2.5 goals56%
Both teams score57%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points.

Strength and form

Newport County

Attack 17th of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.

DDLLD
  • D 0-0 at Accrington 2026-09-19
  • D 1-1 v Fleetwood Town 2026-09-12
  • L 0-1 at Northampton 2026-09-05
  • L 1-2 at Salford 2026-09-01
  • D 2-2 v Tranmere 2026-08-29

Grimsby

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.

WWDDD
  • W 2-0 v Crawley Town 2026-09-19
  • W 2-0 v Bristol Rvs 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 at Cheltenham 2026-09-05
  • D 2-2 at Accrington 2026-09-01
  • D 2-2 v Fleetwood Town 2026-08-29

From 1188 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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