Sampdoria vs Catanzaro prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 19 September 2026, 17:15 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Catanzaro to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Sampdoria 31% at home, a draw 29% and Catanzaro 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 26% / 24%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Sampdoria and 1.3 for Catanzaro; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sampdoria
Attack 20th of 20, defence 8th of 20 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Mantova 2026-09-13
- L 1-3 at Palermo 2026-09-07
- L 1-2 v Juve Stabia 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Cesena 2026-08-23
- L 0-1 at Reggiana 2026-05-08
Catanzaro
Attack 2nd of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Carrarese 2026-09-12
- L 0-2 at Sudtirol 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at Pisa 2026-08-30
- L 2-3 at Vicenza 2026-08-21
- L 2-3 v Bari 2026-05-08
From 801 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 19 Sep
- Carrarese vs Benevento · FT 0–1
- Cremonese vs Virtus Entella · FT 0–0
- Palermo vs Padova · FT 2–1
- Ascoli vs Avellino · FT 3–1