Palermo vs Padova prediction
Italy Serie B · Saturday 19 September 2026, 15:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Palermo to win as the most likely result (61%). It gives Palermo 61% at home, a draw 26% and Padova 14%, so its call is 1: Palermo to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 64% / 21% / 15%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Palermo and 0.7 for Padova; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 57%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Palermo
Attack 1st of 20, defence 1st of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Avellino 2026-09-13
- W 3-1 v Sampdoria 2026-09-07
- W 3-2 at Arezzo 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 v Juve Stabia 2026-08-23
- L 0-2 at Venezia 2026-05-08
Padova
Attack 18th of 20, defence 4th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Ascoli 2026-09-12
- L 1-3 at Cremonese 2026-09-06
- D 1-1 v Verona 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 at Pisa 2026-08-23
- W 4-3 at Cesena 2026-05-08
From 801 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More Italy Serie B games on Sat 19 Sep
- Carrarese vs Benevento · FT 0–1
- Cremonese vs Virtus Entella · FT 0–0
- Sampdoria vs Catanzaro · FT 2–1
- Ascoli vs Avellino · FT 3–1