Salford vs Swindon prediction
England League Two · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Salford to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Salford 44% at home, a draw 25% and Swindon 31%, so its call is 1: Salford to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 64% / 20% / 15%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Salford and 1.2 for Swindon; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Salford
Attack 10th of 24, defence 7th of 24 in the league.
- D 3-3 at Rotherham 2026-09-12
- W 1-0 v Port Vale 2026-09-05
- W 2-1 v Newport County 2026-09-01
- L 0-1 at Shrewsbury 2026-08-29
- L 0-1 v Chesterfield 2026-08-22
Swindon
Attack 5th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-4 at York 2026-09-12
- W 3-1 v Colchester 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 v Port Vale 2026-09-01
- L 0-3 at Oldham 2026-08-29
- W 2-1 v Cheltenham 2026-08-22
From 1176 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 19 Sep
- Walsall vs Port Vale · FT 2–0
- Rochdale vs Oldham · FT 2–0
- Grimsby vs Crawley Town · FT 2–0
- Gillingham vs Bristol Rvs · FT 3–0
- Exeter vs Tranmere · FT 0–0
- Northampton vs Rotherham · FT 0–1
- Colchester vs Cheltenham · FT 1–1
- Chesterfield vs York · FT 2–0
- Barnet vs Fleetwood Town · FT 3–1
- Accrington vs Newport County · FT 0–0
- Crewe vs Shrewsbury · FT 1–1