Brit Predictor
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Colchester vs Cheltenham prediction

England League Two · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeColchester 1–1 CheltenhamResult X

Who wins?

ColchesterDrawCheltenham
Model 1 ✗
53%24%23%
Market 1 ✗
48%26%26%

Brit Predictor's model rates Colchester to win as the most likely result (53%). It gives Colchester 53% at home, a draw 24% and Cheltenham 23%, so its call is 1: Colchester to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 48% / 26% / 26%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Colchester and 1.0 for Cheltenham; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 52%.

Expected goals1.7 – 1.0
GoalsOver 2.5 · 52%
Both teams score53%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Colchester

Attack 12th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.

DLLWW
  • D 1-1 v Crewe 2026-09-12
  • L 1-3 at Swindon 2026-09-05
  • L 0-2 at Bristol Rvs 2026-09-01
  • W 1-0 v Rochdale 2026-08-29
  • W 2-1 v Oldham 2026-08-22

Cheltenham

Attack 8th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.

WDWDL
  • W 3-1 at Crawley Town 2026-09-12
  • D 2-2 v Grimsby 2026-09-05
  • W 3-2 v York 2026-09-01
  • D 2-2 at Barnet 2026-08-29
  • L 1-2 at Swindon 2026-08-22

From 1176 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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