Accrington vs Newport County prediction
England League Two · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Accrington to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Accrington 48% at home, a draw 24% and Newport County 27%, so its call is 1: Accrington to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 27% / 28%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Accrington and 1.2 for Newport County; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Accrington
Attack 16th of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-2 at Barnet 2026-09-12
- W 3-2 v Crawley Town 2026-09-05
- D 2-2 v Grimsby 2026-09-01
- L 2-3 at Walsall 2026-08-29
- L 0-2 at Exeter 2026-08-22
Newport County
Attack 17th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Fleetwood Town 2026-09-12
- L 0-1 at Northampton 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at Salford 2026-09-01
- D 2-2 v Tranmere 2026-08-29
- L 3-5 at Bristol Rvs 2026-08-22
From 1176 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 19 Sep
- Walsall vs Port Vale · FT 2–0
- Rochdale vs Oldham · FT 2–0
- Grimsby vs Crawley Town · FT 2–0
- Gillingham vs Bristol Rvs · FT 3–0
- Salford vs Swindon · FT 1–0
- Exeter vs Tranmere · FT 0–0
- Northampton vs Rotherham · FT 0–1
- Colchester vs Cheltenham · FT 1–1
- Chesterfield vs York · FT 2–0
- Barnet vs Fleetwood Town · FT 3–1
- Crewe vs Shrewsbury · FT 1–1