Brit Predictor
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Chesterfield vs York prediction

England League Two · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeChesterfield 2–0 YorkResult 1

Who wins?

ChesterfieldDrawYork
Model 1 ✓
49%23%28%
Market 12 ✓
42%26%32%

Brit Predictor's model rates Chesterfield to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Chesterfield 49% at home, a draw 23% and York 28%, so its call is 1: Chesterfield to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 26% / 32%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.8 for Chesterfield and 1.3 for York; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on York, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.8 – 1.3
GoalsOver 2.5 · 61%
Both teams score62%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Chesterfield

Attack 3rd of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.

WDDLW
  • W 2-1 at Oldham 2026-09-12
  • D 3-3 v Barnet 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 v Gillingham 2026-09-01
  • L 1-2 at Rotherham 2026-08-29
  • W 1-0 at Salford 2026-08-22

York

Attack 2nd of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.

WDLWD
  • W 4-0 v Swindon 2026-09-12
  • D 1-1 at Crewe 2026-09-05
  • L 2-3 at Cheltenham 2026-09-01
  • W 2-1 v Exeter 2026-08-29
  • D 1-1 at Rotherham 2026-08-22

From 1176 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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