Chesterfield vs York prediction
England League Two · Saturday 19 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Chesterfield to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Chesterfield 49% at home, a draw 23% and York 28%, so its call is 1: Chesterfield to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 42% / 26% / 32%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.8 for Chesterfield and 1.3 for York; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 61%. Careful: there is little recent data on York, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Chesterfield
Attack 3rd of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Oldham 2026-09-12
- D 3-3 v Barnet 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Gillingham 2026-09-01
- L 1-2 at Rotherham 2026-08-29
- W 1-0 at Salford 2026-08-22
York
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- W 4-0 v Swindon 2026-09-12
- D 1-1 at Crewe 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Cheltenham 2026-09-01
- W 2-1 v Exeter 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Rotherham 2026-08-22
From 1176 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 19 Sep
- Walsall vs Port Vale · FT 2–0
- Rochdale vs Oldham · FT 2–0
- Grimsby vs Crawley Town · FT 2–0
- Gillingham vs Bristol Rvs · FT 3–0
- Salford vs Swindon · FT 1–0
- Exeter vs Tranmere · FT 0–0
- Northampton vs Rotherham · FT 0–1
- Colchester vs Cheltenham · FT 1–1
- Barnet vs Fleetwood Town · FT 3–1
- Accrington vs Newport County · FT 0–0
- Crewe vs Shrewsbury · FT 1–1
