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Tenerife vs Leganes prediction

Spain Segunda · Sunday 13 September 2026, 21:00 WAT

Full timeTenerife 2–0 LeganesResult 1

Who wins?

TenerifeDrawLeganes
Model 1X ✓
37%33%30%
Market 1X ✓
41%32%28%

Brit Predictor's model rates Tenerife to win as the most likely result (37%). It gives Tenerife 37% at home, a draw 33% and Leganes 30%, so its call is 1X: Tenerife to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 41% / 32% / 28%, a call of 1X. Expected goals are 0.9 for Tenerife and 0.8 for Leganes; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 74%. Careful: there is little recent data on Tenerife, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals0.9 – 0.8
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 74%
Both teams score34%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Tenerife

Attack 20th of 22, defence 8th of 22 in the league.

DLWWL
  • D 1-1 at Sociedad B 2026-09-05
  • L 0-1 v Sp Gijon 2026-08-28
  • W 1-0 v Almeria 2026-08-23
  • W 3-1 at Eibar 2026-08-16
  • L 0-2 at Almeria 2025-06-01

Leganes

Attack 22nd of 22, defence 7th of 22 in the league.

DWWDW
  • D 0-0 at Las Palmas 2026-09-04
  • W 1-0 v Eldense 2026-08-29
  • W 1-0 at Oviedo 2026-08-22
  • D 1-1 at Girona 2026-08-16
  • W 1-0 v Mirandes 2026-05-31

From 974 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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