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Mallorca vs Sabadell prediction

Spain Segunda · Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:30 WAT

Full timeMallorca 2–0 SabadellResult 1

Who wins?

MallorcaDrawSabadell
Model 1 ✓
44%31%26%
Market 1 ✓
53%28%19%

Brit Predictor's model rates Mallorca to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Mallorca 44% at home, a draw 31% and Sabadell 26%, so its call is 1: Mallorca to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 53% / 28% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.1 for Mallorca and 0.8 for Sabadell; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 69%. Careful: there is little recent data on Mallorca, Sabadell, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.

Expected goals1.1 – 0.8
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 69%
Both teams score37%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Mallorca

Attack 12th of 22, defence 6th of 22 in the league.

DWLW
  • D 0-0 at Eldense 2026-09-05
  • W 3-0 v Ceuta 2026-08-30
  • L 0-2 at Granada 2026-08-24
  • W 2-0 v Valladolid 2026-08-15

Sabadell

Attack 18th of 22, defence 5th of 22 in the league.

WWDD
  • W 3-2 v Cordoba 2026-09-07
  • W 1-0 v Almeria 2026-08-29
  • D 0-0 at Castellon 2026-08-23
  • D 0-0 at Sp Gijon 2026-08-17

From 974 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.

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