Sp Gijon vs Eldense prediction
Spain Segunda · Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Sp Gijon to win as the most likely result (58%). It gives Sp Gijon 58% at home, a draw 24% and Eldense 19%, so its call is 1: Sp Gijon to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 60% / 24% / 16%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.7 for Sp Gijon and 0.9 for Eldense; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Eldense, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Sp Gijon
Attack 7th of 22, defence 10th of 22 in the league.
- L 0-2 v Girona 2026-09-05
- W 1-0 at Tenerife 2026-08-28
- W 1-0 v Burgos 2026-08-23
- D 0-0 v Sabadell 2026-08-17
- W 2-1 at Granada 2026-05-30
Eldense
Attack 19th of 22, defence 20th of 22 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Mallorca 2026-09-05
- L 0-1 at Leganes 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Cadiz 2026-08-22
- L 0-3 at Almeria 2026-08-17
- L 2-3 at Huesca 2025-06-01
From 974 league matches since 2024-08-15, recent games weighted more.
More Spain Segunda games on Sun 13 Sep
- Valladolid vs Oviedo · FT 0–3
- Mallorca vs Sabadell · FT 2–0
- Tenerife vs Leganes · FT 2–0