York vs Swindon prediction
England League Two · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Swindon to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives York 35% at home, a draw 23% and Swindon 42%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 20% / 18%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for York and 1.7 for Swindon; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 63%. Careful: there is little recent data on York, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
York
Attack 6th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Crewe 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Cheltenham 2026-09-01
- W 2-1 v Exeter 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Rotherham 2026-08-22
- W 3-2 v Bristol Rvs 2026-08-15
Swindon
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
- W 3-1 v Colchester 2026-09-05
- W 3-1 v Port Vale 2026-09-01
- L 0-3 at Oldham 2026-08-29
- W 2-1 v Cheltenham 2026-08-22
- D 0-0 at Northampton 2026-08-15
From 1164 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 12 Sep
- Crawley Town vs Cheltenham · FT 1–3
- Grimsby vs Bristol Rvs · FT 2–0
- Walsall vs Rochdale · FT 0–0
- Shrewsbury vs Northampton · FT 2–0
- Rotherham vs Salford · FT 3–3
- Port Vale vs Exeter · FT 1–0
- Gillingham vs Tranmere · FT 2–0
- Newport County vs Fleetwood Town · FT 1–1
- Colchester vs Crewe · FT 1–1
- Barnet vs Accrington · FT 2–1
- Oldham vs Chesterfield · FT 1–2