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Crawley Town vs Cheltenham prediction

England League Two · Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 WAT

Full timeCrawley Town 1–3 CheltenhamResult 2

Who wins?

Crawley TownDrawCheltenham
Model 12 ✓
36%26%38%
Market 12 ✓
36%25%39%

Brit Predictor's model rates Cheltenham to win as the most likely result (38%). It gives Crawley Town 36% at home, a draw 26% and Cheltenham 38%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 36% / 25% / 39%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.3 for Crawley Town and 1.4 for Cheltenham; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%.

Expected goals1.3 – 1.4
GoalsOver 2.5 · 51%
Both teams score55%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Crawley Town

Attack 23rd of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.

LDLWL
  • L 2-3 at Accrington 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 at Northampton 2026-09-01
  • L 0-2 v Bristol Rvs 2026-08-29
  • W 2-1 at Rochdale 2026-08-22
  • L 0-1 v Crewe 2026-08-15

Cheltenham

Attack 9th of 24, defence 22nd of 24 in the league.

DWDLW
  • D 2-2 v Grimsby 2026-09-05
  • W 3-2 v York 2026-09-01
  • D 2-2 at Barnet 2026-08-29
  • L 1-2 at Swindon 2026-08-22
  • W 2-1 v Rotherham 2026-08-15

From 1164 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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