Port Vale vs Exeter prediction
England League Two · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 1 ✓ (home win): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Port Vale to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Port Vale 40% at home, a draw 31% and Exeter 30%, so its call is 1X: Port Vale to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 49% / 27% / 24%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.1 for Port Vale and 0.9 for Exeter; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 69%. Careful: there is little recent data on Port Vale, Exeter, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Port Vale
Attack 13th of 24, defence 5th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-1 at Salford 2026-09-05
- L 1-3 at Swindon 2026-09-01
- D 0-0 v Crewe 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 v Tranmere 2026-08-22
- L 0-2 at Oldham 2026-08-15
Exeter
Attack 19th of 24, defence 3rd of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 v Walsall 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 v Barnet 2026-09-01
- L 1-2 at York 2026-08-29
- W 2-0 v Accrington 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 at Grimsby 2026-08-15
From 1164 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League Two games on Sat 12 Sep
- Crawley Town vs Cheltenham · FT 1–3
- Grimsby vs Bristol Rvs · FT 2–0
- York vs Swindon · FT 4–0
- Walsall vs Rochdale · FT 0–0
- Shrewsbury vs Northampton · FT 2–0
- Rotherham vs Salford · FT 3–3
- Gillingham vs Tranmere · FT 2–0
- Newport County vs Fleetwood Town · FT 1–1
- Colchester vs Crewe · FT 1–1
- Barnet vs Accrington · FT 2–1
- Oldham vs Chesterfield · FT 1–2