Brit Predictor
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Newport County vs Fleetwood Town prediction

England League Two · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeNewport County 1–1 Fleetwood TownResult X

Who wins?

Newport CountyDrawFleetwood Town
Model 2 ✗
30%26%44%
Market 2 ✗
30%27%43%

Brit Predictor's model rates Fleetwood Town to win as the most likely result (44%). It gives Newport County 30% at home, a draw 26% and Fleetwood Town 44%, so its call is 2: Fleetwood Town to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 30% / 27% / 43%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Newport County and 1.5 for Fleetwood Town; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 51%.

Expected goals1.2 – 1.5
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 51%
Both teams score53%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Newport County

Attack 17th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.

LLDLW
  • L 0-1 at Northampton 2026-09-05
  • L 1-2 at Salford 2026-09-01
  • D 2-2 v Tranmere 2026-08-29
  • L 3-5 at Bristol Rvs 2026-08-22
  • W 3-0 v Rochdale 2026-08-15

Fleetwood Town

Attack 12th of 24, defence 10th of 24 in the league.

WDDDW
  • W 2-0 v Shrewsbury 2026-09-05
  • D 1-1 v Oldham 2026-09-01
  • D 2-2 at Grimsby 2026-08-29
  • D 0-0 v Gillingham 2026-08-22
  • W 1-0 at Chesterfield 2026-08-15

From 1164 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.

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