Charlton vs Portsmouth prediction
England Championship · Saturday 12 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1X ✓ (home win or draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Charlton to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Charlton 40% at home, a draw 31% and Portsmouth 29%, so its call is 1X: Charlton to win or draw. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 29% / 36%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.2 for Charlton and 1.0 for Portsmouth; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 63%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Charlton
Attack 24th of 24, defence 9th of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 v QPR 2026-09-09
- L 0-4 at Stoke 2026-09-05
- D 1-1 at West Brom 2026-09-02
- W 1-0 v Preston 2026-08-29
- W 2-1 at West Ham 2026-08-22
Portsmouth
Attack 15th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Cardiff 2026-09-05
- L 0-2 v Derby 2026-09-01
- L 1-2 at Bristol City 2026-08-29
- W 3-1 at Lincoln 2026-08-22
- L 1-3 v QPR 2026-08-15
From 1174 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 12 Sep
- Derby vs Birmingham · FT 1–2
- West Brom vs QPR · FT 1–1
- Bolton vs Cardiff · FT 1–0
- Blackburn vs Millwall · FT 3–1
- Middlesbrough vs Norwich · FT 4–3
- Preston vs Lincoln · FT 0–1
- Southampton vs Bristol City · FT 4–1
- Swansea vs Burnley · FT 3–1
- Watford vs Stoke · FT 1–2