Bolton vs Cardiff prediction
England Championship · Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Bolton to win as the most likely result (41%). It gives Bolton 41% at home, a draw 28% and Cardiff 32%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 35% / 25% / 40%, a call of 12. Expected goals are 1.5 for Bolton and 1.3 for Cardiff; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 51%. Careful: there is little recent data on Bolton, Cardiff, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Bolton
Attack 21st of 24, defence 24th of 24 in the league.
- L 2-3 v West Ham 2026-09-08
- L 0-4 at Millwall 2026-09-05
- L 2-3 at Sheffield United 2026-09-01
- L 0-1 v Lincoln 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at QPR 2026-08-22
Cardiff
Attack 20th of 24, defence 23rd of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Stoke 2026-09-08
- L 0-2 at Portsmouth 2026-09-05
- L 1-2 at QPR 2026-09-02
- D 2-2 v Sheffield United 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 at Derby 2026-08-22
From 1174 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Sat 12 Sep
- Derby vs Birmingham · FT 1–2
- West Brom vs QPR · FT 1–1
- Blackburn vs Millwall · FT 3–1
- Charlton vs Portsmouth · FT 0–0
- Middlesbrough vs Norwich · FT 4–3
- Preston vs Lincoln · FT 0–1
- Southampton vs Bristol City · FT 4–1
- Swansea vs Burnley · FT 3–1
- Watford vs Stoke · FT 1–2