Newcastle vs Bournemouth prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 5 September 2026, 13:30 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Newcastle to win as the most likely result (43%). It gives Newcastle 43% at home, a draw 26% and Bournemouth 31%, so its call is 1: Newcastle to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 45% / 26% / 29%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Newcastle and 1.3 for Bournemouth; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 56%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Newcastle
Attack 7th of 20, defence 14th of 20 in the league.
- W 2-0 at Tottenham 2026-08-29
- D 2-2 v Liverpool 2026-08-23
- L 0-2 at Fulham 2026-05-24
- W 3-1 v West Ham 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at Nott'm Forest 2026-05-10
Bournemouth
Attack 9th of 20, defence 7th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Everton 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 at Man City 2026-08-23
- D 1-1 at Nott'm Forest 2026-05-24
- D 1-1 v Man City 2026-05-19
- W 1-0 at Fulham 2026-05-09
From 781 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 5 Sep
- Nott'm Forest vs Tottenham · FT 0–0
- Man City vs Coventry · FT 1–0
- Brighton vs Leeds · FT 1–1
- Brentford vs Sunderland · FT 1–1
- Fulham vs Crystal Palace · FT 2–3
- Hull vs Aston Villa · FT 0–0