Brit Predictor

Brentford vs Sunderland prediction

England Premier League · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT

Full timeBrentford 1–1 SunderlandResult X

Who wins?

BrentfordDrawSunderland
Model 1 ✗
49%28%23%
Market 1 ✗
58%24%19%

Brit Predictor's model rates Brentford to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Brentford 49% at home, a draw 28% and Sunderland 23%, so its call is 1: Brentford to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 24% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Brentford and 1.0 for Sunderland; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.

Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
GoalsUnder 2.5 · 54%
Both teams score50%

Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.

Strength and form

Brentford

Attack 8th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.

DWDDL
  • D 1-1 at Leeds 2026-08-30
  • W 3-0 v Tottenham 2026-08-22
  • D 1-1 at Liverpool 2026-05-24
  • D 2-2 v Crystal Palace 2026-05-17
  • L 0-3 at Man City 2026-05-09

Sunderland

Attack 20th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.

WLWWD
  • W 1-0 v Fulham 2026-08-30
  • L 1-2 at Ipswich 2026-08-22
  • W 2-1 v Chelsea 2026-05-24
  • W 3-1 at Everton 2026-05-17
  • D 0-0 v Man United 2026-05-09

From 781 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.

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