Brentford vs Sunderland prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Brentford to win as the most likely result (49%). It gives Brentford 49% at home, a draw 28% and Sunderland 23%, so its call is 1: Brentford to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 58% / 24% / 19%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.5 for Brentford and 1.0 for Sunderland; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Brentford
Attack 8th of 20, defence 13th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 at Leeds 2026-08-30
- W 3-0 v Tottenham 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Liverpool 2026-05-24
- D 2-2 v Crystal Palace 2026-05-17
- L 0-3 at Man City 2026-05-09
Sunderland
Attack 20th of 20, defence 5th of 20 in the league.
- W 1-0 v Fulham 2026-08-30
- L 1-2 at Ipswich 2026-08-22
- W 2-1 v Chelsea 2026-05-24
- W 3-1 at Everton 2026-05-17
- D 0-0 v Man United 2026-05-09
From 781 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 5 Sep
- Newcastle vs Bournemouth · FT 2–2
- Nott'm Forest vs Tottenham · FT 0–0
- Man City vs Coventry · FT 1–0
- Brighton vs Leeds · FT 1–1
- Fulham vs Crystal Palace · FT 2–3
- Hull vs Aston Villa · FT 0–0
