Brighton vs Leeds prediction
England Premier League · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Brighton to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Brighton 48% at home, a draw 27% and Leeds 25%, so its call is 1: Brighton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 50% / 26% / 25%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.6 for Brighton and 1.1 for Leeds; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Brighton
Attack 6th of 20, defence 12th of 20 in the league.
- L 3-4 at Chelsea 2026-08-30
- W 4-0 v Aston Villa 2026-08-23
- L 0-3 v Man United 2026-05-24
- L 0-1 at Leeds 2026-05-17
- W 3-0 v Wolves 2026-05-09
Leeds
Attack 13th of 20, defence 9th of 20 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Brentford 2026-08-30
- W 1-0 at Nott'm Forest 2026-08-22
- L 0-3 at West Ham 2026-05-24
- W 1-0 v Brighton 2026-05-17
- D 1-1 at Tottenham 2026-05-11
From 781 league matches since 2024-08-16, recent games weighted more.
More England Premier League games on Sat 5 Sep
- Newcastle vs Bournemouth · FT 2–2
- Nott'm Forest vs Tottenham · FT 0–0
- Man City vs Coventry · FT 1–0
- Brentford vs Sunderland · FT 1–1
- Fulham vs Crystal Palace · FT 2–3
- Hull vs Aston Villa · FT 0–0