Leicester vs Oxford prediction
England League One · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Leicester to win as the most likely result (48%). It gives Leicester 48% at home, a draw 24% and Oxford 28%, so its call is 1: Leicester to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 61% / 21% / 18%, a call of 1 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.6 for Leicester and 1.2 for Oxford; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Leicester, Oxford, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Leicester
Attack 14th of 24, defence 4th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-0 v Plymouth 2026-09-01
- D 0-0 at Milton Keynes Dons 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Burton 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Notts County 2026-08-15
Oxford
Attack 6th of 24, defence 20th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-3 at Huddersfield 2026-09-01
- W 2-1 at Stevenage 2026-08-22
- D 2-2 v Milton Keynes Dons 2026-08-15
From 1151 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 5 Sep
- Wigan vs Stockport · FT 0–4
- Peterboro vs Sheffield Weds · FT 1–2
- Reading vs Blackpool · FT 3–1
- Barnsley vs Stevenage · FT 1–5
- Bradford vs Mansfield · FT 1–0
- Burton vs Cambridge · FT 2–2
- Doncaster vs Plymouth · FT 2–3
- Huddersfield vs Notts County · FT 1–1
- Luton vs Leyton Orient · FT 1–1
- Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons · FT 3–3