Barnsley vs Stevenage prediction
England League One · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Barnsley to win as the most likely result (42%). It gives Barnsley 42% at home, a draw 28% and Stevenage 30%, so its call is 1: Barnsley to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 43% / 27% / 30%, a call of 1. Expected goals are 1.3 for Barnsley and 1.0 for Stevenage; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 60%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Barnsley
Attack 9th of 24, defence 19th of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 v Blackpool 2026-09-02
- W 3-1 at Leyton Orient 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 at Doncaster 2026-08-22
- L 0-1 v Bromley 2026-08-15
- L 1-3 v Stockport 2026-05-02
Stevenage
Attack 24th of 24, defence 1st of 24 in the league.
- D 0-0 at Peterboro 2026-09-01
- D 2-2 v Doncaster 2026-08-29
- L 1-2 v Oxford 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 at Burton 2026-08-15
- W 1-0 v Wigan 2026-05-02
From 1151 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 5 Sep
- Wigan vs Stockport · FT 0–4
- Peterboro vs Sheffield Weds · FT 1–2
- Reading vs Blackpool · FT 3–1
- Bradford vs Mansfield · FT 1–0
- Burton vs Cambridge · FT 2–2
- Doncaster vs Plymouth · FT 2–3
- Huddersfield vs Notts County · FT 1–1
- Leicester vs Oxford · FT 0–4
- Luton vs Leyton Orient · FT 1–1
- Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons · FT 3–3