Burton vs Cambridge prediction
England League One · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 1 ✗ (home win): got it wrong
- Market called 12 ✗ (either team wins, no draw): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Burton to win as the most likely result (50%). It gives Burton 50% at home, a draw 25% and Cambridge 24%, so its call is 1: Burton to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 34% / 29% / 37%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.5 for Burton and 1.0 for Cambridge; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 53%. Careful: there is little recent data on Cambridge, usually a promoted side, and the market tends to be right about those.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Burton
Attack 17th of 24, defence 11th of 24 in the league.
- W 4-1 v AFC Wimbledon 2026-09-02
- L 1-2 at Notts County 2026-08-29
- W 2-1 at Leicester 2026-08-22
- D 1-1 v Stevenage 2026-08-15
- D 2-2 at Leyton Orient 2026-05-02
Cambridge
Attack 18th of 24, defence 21st of 24 in the league.
- W 2-1 at Bradford 2026-09-01
- L 1-2 v Huddersfield 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Bromley 2026-08-22
- W 3-2 v Wigan 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 v Birmingham 2025-05-03
From 1151 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 5 Sep
- Wigan vs Stockport · FT 0–4
- Peterboro vs Sheffield Weds · FT 1–2
- Reading vs Blackpool · FT 3–1
- Barnsley vs Stevenage · FT 1–5
- Bradford vs Mansfield · FT 1–0
- Doncaster vs Plymouth · FT 2–3
- Huddersfield vs Notts County · FT 1–1
- Leicester vs Oxford · FT 0–4
- Luton vs Leyton Orient · FT 1–1
- Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons · FT 3–3