Doncaster vs Plymouth prediction
England League One · Saturday 5 September 2026, 16:00 WAT
- Model called 2 ✓ (away win): called it
- Market called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Plymouth to win as the most likely result (46%). It gives Doncaster 30% at home, a draw 25% and Plymouth 46%, so its call is 2: Plymouth to win. The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 38% / 26% / 35%, a call of 12 — a clear disagreement with the model. Expected goals are 1.2 for Doncaster and 1.6 for Plymouth; on goals, the model leans Over 2.5 at 54%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Doncaster
Attack 19th of 24, defence 17th of 24 in the league.
- D 1-1 v Notts County 2026-09-01
- D 2-2 at Stevenage 2026-08-29
- D 0-0 v Barnsley 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 at Mansfield 2026-08-15
- W 3-1 at Peterboro 2026-05-02
Plymouth
Attack 2nd of 24, defence 14th of 24 in the league.
- L 0-2 at Leicester 2026-09-01
- W 2-0 v Bradford 2026-08-29
- D 1-1 at Wycombe 2026-08-22
- L 1-3 v Stockport 2026-08-15
- W 3-2 at Northampton 2026-05-02
From 1151 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England League One games on Sat 5 Sep
- Wigan vs Stockport · FT 0–4
- Peterboro vs Sheffield Weds · FT 1–2
- Reading vs Blackpool · FT 3–1
- Barnsley vs Stevenage · FT 1–5
- Bradford vs Mansfield · FT 1–0
- Burton vs Cambridge · FT 2–2
- Huddersfield vs Notts County · FT 1–1
- Leicester vs Oxford · FT 0–4
- Luton vs Leyton Orient · FT 1–1
- Wycombe vs Milton Keynes Dons · FT 3–3