Stoke vs Norwich prediction
England Championship · Tuesday 1 September 2026, 21:00 WAT
- Model called 12 ✓ (either team wins, no draw): called it
- Market called 2 ✗ (away win): got it wrong
Who wins?
Brit Predictor's model rates Norwich to win as the most likely result (40%). It gives Stoke 32% at home, a draw 28% and Norwich 40%, so its call is 12: either team to win (no draw). The bookmakers, with their margin removed, have it 29% / 27% / 44%, a call of 2. Expected goals are 1.2 for Stoke and 1.4 for Norwich; on goals, the model leans Under 2.5 at 52%.
Rebuilt after kick-off using only matches played before it. A double chance (1X, X2, 12) is called when the top two results are within 10 points. A goals call (O2.5 or U2.5) is made only when the model gives one side at least 65%.
Strength and form
Stoke
Attack 21st of 24, defence 18th of 24 in the league.
- L 1-4 at Wolves 2026-08-29
- L 1-3 at Southampton 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 v Swansea 2026-08-15
- L 0-2 at Bristol City 2026-05-02
- L 1-3 v Portsmouth 2026-04-25
Norwich
Attack 5th of 24, defence 15th of 24 in the league.
- W 4-1 v Burnley 2026-08-29
- L 0-3 at Millwall 2026-08-22
- L 1-2 v West Brom 2026-08-15
- L 1-2 at Hull 2026-05-02
- D 1-1 v Swansea 2026-04-25
From 1140 league matches since 2024-08-09, recent games weighted more.
More England Championship games on Tue 1 Sep
- Lincoln vs Blackburn · FT 0–0
- Portsmouth vs Derby · FT 0–2
- Preston vs Bristol City · FT 1–3
- Sheffield United vs Bolton · FT 3–2
- Swansea vs Watford · FT 2–0
- West Ham vs Wolves · FT 4–2
- Birmingham vs Southampton · FT 1–1